- Feb 25, 2020
Difficult to say. Money is the most important factor and with the budget caps you'd assume much closer performance however there are ways around the budget cap for example utilising a separate part of the organisation not directly affiliated with F1 to invest in research and development.You blokes who are more knowledgeable... when the 2021 (or is it 2022 now) cars come.... how much will that shake things up?
Then you have quality of current personnel carrying over like James Allison for Mercedes or Adrian Newey for Red Bull along with inbuilt structural competence as with Mercedes. Not to mention driver's salaries not being regulated by the new budget limitations.
I'd say there will be a shake up to some extent, and you never know who will chance upon the next game changing innovation (double diffuser etc..), but I'd still put my money on one of Mercedes, Ferrari or Red Bull.