United States Election 2020 Electoral Map Prediction Thread

Bachafach^^^

"Communism is the riddle of history solved"
Dec 6, 2019
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6,938
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Varaždin, Hrvaška
I figured we needed a thread for electoral college predictions, as predicting the electoral college is a little more fun and interesting than just saying who you think will win an election. Also to prevent any i told you so's i am offering a 3 month avatar better to anyone who thinks Trump will win the election






Here is my map. I think Georgia flips blue, while Ohio, Florida and Texas stay red likely because of GOP voter suppression and "lost ballots"

16086


Here is a link where you can fiddle with the predictor yourself and copy and past it into your post






Here is where you can find current state by state polling data and odds



AVATAR BETS
Hookjaw
sasquatch
Dyna
 
Last edited:
Oct 22, 2012
5,865
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It's crazy to think Obama won places like Indiana and NC in '08. Ohio has been trending more toward Republican in recent years, I don't think Biden carries NC, but maybe Florida & PA.

I want to be wrong, but I think their efforts toward voter suppression, the post officer fuckery, will get him across the line. Losing the popular vote again but winning the EC.
 
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Reactions: Johnstown

Bachafach^^^

"Communism is the riddle of history solved"
Dec 6, 2019
8,720
6,938
20
Varaždin, Hrvaška
It's crazy to think Obama won places like Indiana and NC in '08. Ohio has been trending more toward Republican in recent years, I don't think Biden carries NC, but maybe Florida & PA.

I want to be wrong, but I think their efforts toward voter suppression, the post officer fuckery, will get him across the line. Losing the popular vote again but winning the EC.
He won Indiana, Iowa, Florida and NC. Shows how powerful populism is and how Trump really didnt do anything special beating Hillary in 2012.
 
Reactions: Leftsmash
Mar 31, 2017
1,085
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I figured we needed a thread for electoral college predictions, as predicting the electoral college is a little more fun and interesting than just saying who you think will win an election. Also to prevent any i told you so's i am offering a 3 month avatar better to anyone who thinks Trump will win the election






Here is my map. I think Georgia flips blue, while Ohio, Florida and Texas stay red likely because of GOP voter suppression and "lost ballots"

View attachment 16086


Here is a link where you can fiddle with the predictor yourself and copy and past it into your post




Here is where you can find current state by state polling data and odds
On the basis that I suspect I could lose an avatar bet with Paul Merson (British sporting reference - knock yerself out) I am happy to take Bach's offer here. Don't care what you put up, chap. Just hope I lose.
 

Bachafach^^^

"Communism is the riddle of history solved"
Dec 6, 2019
8,720
6,938
20
Varaždin, Hrvaška
On the basis that I suspect I could lose an avatar bet with Paul Merson (British sporting reference - knock yerself out) I am happy to take Bach's offer here. Don't care what you put up, chap. Just hope I lose.
A bet it is. Willing to stack every 3 months if there is any other takers?
 

SwollenGoat

Deicide
May 17, 2013
65,121
24,464
The House that Peterbilt
so,you said yourself you dont pay attention to polls because they are all worng

except this one?

where did you get it and WHY do you believe it?

lets just look at CO since yer willing to bet on it

WHY do you think trump takes it?

what INFORMATION do you have we dont?

polls show trump WAY behind